MLB Pick: New York Mets at Miami Marlins

Overview

The New York Mets head down south to sunny Florida where they start a three game series with division rivals the Miami Marlins. The Mets have played the Marlins well over the past year or so winning 12 of the last 15 meetings overall including 4 of the last 5 played in Miami.

Head to Head Trends

Mets are 5-1 in Gees last 6 starts vs. Marlins.
Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Miami Marlins (-119)

The Miami Marlins are 3rd in the National League East with an 8-11 record 6 games behind the 1st place Mets. The Marlins had a rough start winning just 3 of their first 14 games but they found something over the past week winning their last 5 in a row while outscoring their opponents 32-6.

Starting for the Marlins today is Jarred Cosart who is 1-1 with a 3.63 ERA in his 3 starts so far this season. Cosart has been really good in two of his starts but struggled in his other start allowing 5 runs and 7 hits in 5.1 innings of work and that game just happened to be against the Mets who he’s facing again today.

Miami Marlins trends

Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Marlins are 0-4 in Cosarts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

New York Mets (+109)

The New York Mets are 1st in the NL East with a 14-5 record which is also good for the best record in baseball right now. The Mets have done most of their damage at home where they are 10-0 compared to on the road where they are just 4-5.

On the hill for the Mets is Dillon Gee who is 0-1 with a 5.60 ERA on the season although the Mets have won 2 of the 3 games Gee has started. Gee’s best outing of the season so far was his last start where he allowed just 2 runs over 8 innings of work so lets hope he can build of that and have another good game today.

New York Mets Trends

Mets are 35-16 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 6-2 in Gees last 8 starts vs. National League East.

Conclusion

I’m going with the New York Mets over the Marlins in this one. The Marlins are hot right now winning their last 5 in a row but the Mets are the best team in the league and we’re getting them as a +109 underdog at 5dimes sportsbook so it’s like we almost have to bet them.

Free Pick: New York Mets +109