MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays

Overview

The Tampa Bay Rays head into the Rogers Centre in Toronto for the first game of a 4 game series with division rivals the Toronto Blue Jays. After struggling versus the Rays for many years the Jays have played them fairly well over the past couple seasons winning 11 of the last 18 meetings overall including 7 of the last 12 meetings played at home in Toronto.

Head to Head Trends

Over is 5-1 in Dickeys last 6 starts vs. Rays.

Toronto Blue Jays (-140)

The Toronto Blue Jays are off to a pretty good start so far this season winning 4 of 6 games all of which were on the road. This will be the Blue Jays first game at home this season where they had an impressive 46-35 record last season.

Just like last season the Blue Jays will live and die by the bats being hot or not as their pitching staff is probably going to be average at best but they should have one of the best offenses in the league so when the bats get hot they should be able to put together a few wins but I think they will struggle when the big bats cool down.

Starting for the Blue Jays today is knuckleballer R.A. Dickey who had a solid outing in his last start versus the Yankees allowing just 1 run but the Jays bullpen blew it late in the game so he came away with the no decision.

Toronto Blue Jays Trends

Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Blue Jays are 14-4 in their last 18 games on astroturf.

Tampa Bay Rays (+130)

The Tampa Bay Rays are .500 so far this season with a 3-3 record and are going to look to bounce back from a disappointing season last year. The Rays are hitting the ball pretty good so far this season averaging 4.67 runs per game and averaging 1.0 home runs per game but I have my doubts if that will last.

On the hill for the Rays today is Jake Odorizzi who pitched ok last season going 11-13 with a 4.12 ERA but he really struggled with the long ball allowing 20 home runs so he might be in a for a hard time tonight against the big hitting Blue Jays.

Tampa Bay Rays Trends

Rays are 5-11 in Odorizzis last 16 road starts.
Rays are 1-7 in Odorizzis last 8 starts as an underdog.

Conclusion

I like the Toronto Blue Jays over the Rays in this one. The Blue Jays are off to a solid start especially with the bats and with this season their home opener they might be a little extra jacked up.

Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -140 at SportsInteraction